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dc.creatorM. Salgado
dc.creatorG. Bernal
dc.creatorM. L. Carreño
dc.creatorO.D. Cardona
dc.creatorA. Barbat
dc.date.accessioned2016-07-28T13:29:06Z
dc.date.available2016-07-28T13:29:06Z
dc.date.issued2015
dc.identifier.citationM. Salgado, G. Bernal, M. L. Carreño, O.D. Cardona, A. Barbat. (2015). Probabilistic estimation of annual lost economic production due to premature deaths because of earthquakes . Barcelona. Human and Ecological risk assessment
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11762/19808
dc.description.sponsorshipUniversitat Politécnica de Catalunya, Universidad Nacional sede Manizales
dc.formatDigital (.pdf)
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherHuman and Ecological risk assessment
dc.sourceinstname:Unidad Nacional para la Gestión del Riesgo de Desastresspa
dc.sourcereponame:Repositorio Institucional Unidad Nacional para la Gestión del Riesgo de Desastresspa
dc.subjectProbabilistic seismic risk assessment
dc.subjectaverage annual deaths
dc.subjectearthquake casualties
dc.subjectdisability adjusted life year
dc.subjectCAPRA
dc.titleProbabilistic estimation of annual lost economic production due to premature deaths because of earthquakes
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlespa
dc.description.departamentoBarcelona
dc.type.spaArtículo de investigación
dc.rights.accessRightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessspa
dc.description.abstractenglishA methodology to estimate, in a probabilistic way, the annual cost to society of premature deaths because of earthquakes is proposed in this article. The methodology makes use of results obtained by meansof prospective and probabilistic seismic risk assessments where expected deaths caused by the collapse of buildings are obtained.Those results, combined with demographic and macroeconomic indicators such as the age distribution, life expectancy at birth, and per capita gross domestic product, are used to estimate the cost to societyin terms of lost productivity due to premature mortality because of earthquakes. The proposed methodology does not attempt to estimate nor assign a cost to human lives at any stage, but the oneassociated to lost productivity at the societal level. One of the descriptors of the methodology is part of the components of the disability adjusted life year, a widely used metric in the public health field that estimates the burden of diseases based mostly on historical data. As an example, the methodology is applied to Medell_?n, the second largest city of Colombia, finding that the cost of lost productivity due to premature mortality because of earthquakes has a similar order of magnitude to the direct physical losses in the public and private building stock calculated in a previous probabilistic seismicrisk assessment.
dc.identifier.doi10.1080/10807039.2015.1095072
dc.relation.publisherversionhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10807039.2015.1095072
dc.type.hasVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionspa


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